Montgomery County
Probabilistic Wildfire Susceptibility from Remote Sensing Using Random Forests and SHAP
Cheerala, Udaya Bhasker, Chirukuri, Varun Teja, Gummadi, Venkata Akhil Kumar, Bhuyan, Jintu Moni, Damacharla, Praveen
Wildfires pose a significant global threat to ecosystems worldwide, with California experiencing recurring fires due to various factors, including climate, topographical features, vegetation patterns, and human activities. This study aims to develop a comprehensive wildfire risk map for California by applying the random forest (RF) algorithm, augmented with Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) through Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP), to interpret model predictions. Model performance was assessed using both spatial and temporal validation strategies. The RF model demonstrated strong predictive performance, achieving near-perfect discrimination for grasslands (AUC = 0.996) and forests (AUC = 0.997). Spatial cross-validation revealed moderate transferability, yielding ROC-AUC values of 0.6155 for forests and 0.5416 for grasslands. In contrast, temporal split validation showed enhanced generalization, especially for forests (ROC-AUC = 0.6615, PR-AUC = 0.8423). SHAP-based XAI analysis identified key ecosystem-specific drivers: soil organic carbon, tree cover, and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) emerged as the most influential in forests, whereas Land Surface Temperature (LST), elevation, and vegetation health indices were dominant in grasslands. District-level classification revealed that Central Valley and Northern Buttes districts had the highest concentration of high-risk grasslands, while Northern Buttes and North Coast Redwoods dominated forested high-risk areas. This RF-SHAP framework offers a robust, comprehensible, and adaptable method for assessing wildfire risks, enabling informed decisions and creating targeted strategies to mitigate dangers.
- Asia > Middle East > Republic of Türkiye (0.14)
- North America > United States > Wyoming (0.04)
- North America > United States > Utah (0.04)
- (8 more...)
Temporal Fusion Transformer for Multi-Horizon Probabilistic Forecasting of Weekly Retail Sales
Punati, Santhi Bharath, Kanta, Sandeep, Cheerala, Udaya Bhasker, Lanjewar, Madhusudan G, Damacharla, Praveen
-- Accurate multi - horizon retail forecasts are critical for inventory and promotions. We present a novel study of weekly Walmart sales (45 stores, 2010 - 2012) using a Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT) that fuses static store identifiers with time - varying exoge nous signals (holidays, CPI, fuel price, temperature). The pipeline produces 1 - 5 - week - ahead probabilistic forecasts via QuantileLoss, yielding calibrated 90% prediction intervals and interpretability through variable - selection networks, static enr ichment, and temporal attention. On a fixed 2012 hold - out dataset, TFT achieves an RMSE of $ 57.9k USD per store - week and an R of 0.9875. Across 5 - fold chronological cross - validation, the averages are RMSE = $ 64.6k USD and R = 0.9844, outperforming XGB, CNN, LSTM, and CNN - LSTM baseline models .
- North America > United States > Texas > Montgomery County > The Woodlands (0.04)
- North America > United States > Texas > Dallas County > Dallas (0.04)
- North America > United States > South Carolina (0.04)
- (2 more...)
- Retail (1.00)
- Banking & Finance > Economy (0.47)
FTT-GRU: A Hybrid Fast Temporal Transformer with GRU for Remaining Useful Life Prediction
Chirukiri, Varun Teja, Cheerala, Udaya Bhasker, Kanta, Sandeep, Karim, Abdul, Damacharla, Praveen
Accurate prediction of the remaining useful life (RUL) of industrial machinery is essential for reducing downtime and optimizing maintenance schedules. Existing approaches, such as long short-term memory (LSTM) networks and convolutional neural networks (CNNs), often struggle to model both global temporal dependencies and fine-grained degradation trends in multivariate sensor data. We propose a hybrid model, FTT-GRU, which combines a Fast Temporal Transformer (FTT) -- a lightweight Transformer variant using linearized attention via fast Fourier transform (FFT) -- with a gated recurrent unit (GRU) layer for sequential modeling. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first application of an FTT with a GRU for RUL prediction on NASA CMAPSS, enabling simultaneous capture of global and local degradation patterns in a compact architecture. On CMAPSS FD001, FTT-GRU attains RMSE 30.76, MAE 18.97, and $R^2=0.45$, with 1.12 ms CPU latency at batch=1. Relative to the best published deep baseline (TCN--Attention), it improves RMSE by 1.16\% and MAE by 4.00\%. Training curves averaged over $k=3$ runs show smooth convergence with narrow 95\% confidence bands, and ablations (GRU-only, FTT-only) support the contribution of both components. These results demonstrate that a compact Transformer-RNN hybrid delivers accurate and efficient RUL predictions on CMAPSS, making it suitable for real-time industrial prognostics.
- North America > United States > Texas > Montgomery County > The Woodlands (0.04)
- North America > United States > Texas > Dallas County > Dallas (0.04)
- North America > United States > Oregon > Multnomah County > Portland (0.04)
- (2 more...)
- Government > Space Agency (0.50)
- Government > Regional Government > North America Government > United States Government (0.50)
Safe Active Navigation and Exploration for Planetary Environments Using Proprioceptive Measurements
Jiang, Matthew, Liu, Shipeng, Qian, Feifei
Abstract--Legged robots can sense terrain through force interactions during locomotion, offering more reliable traversability estimates than remote sensing and serving as scouts for guiding wheeled rovers in challenging environments. However, even legged scouts face challenges when traversing highly deformable or unstable terrain. We present Safe Active Exploration for Granular T errain (SAEGT), a navigation framework that enables legged robots to safely explore unknown granular environments using proprioceptive sensing, particularly where visual input fails to capture terrain deformability. SAEGT estimates the safe region and frontier region online from leg-terrain interactions using Gaussian Process regression for traversability assessment, with a reactive controller for real-time safe exploration and navigation. SAEGT demonstrated its ability to safely explore and navigate toward a specified goal using only proprioceptively estimated traversability in simulation.
- North America > United States > California > Los Angeles County > Los Angeles (0.28)
- North America > United States > Texas > Montgomery County > The Woodlands (0.04)
- North America > United States > California > Los Angeles County > Pasadena (0.04)
- (2 more...)
Towards An Adaptive Locomotion Strategy For Quadruped Rovers: Quantifying When To Slide Or Walk On Planetary Slopes
Sanchez-Delgado, Alberto, Soares, João Carlos Virgolino, Tawil, David Omar Al, Noce, Alessia Li, Villa, Matteo, Barasuol, Victor, Arena, Paolo, Semini, Claudio
ABSTRACT Legged rovers provide enhanced mobility compared to wheeled platforms, enabling navigation on steep and irregular planetary terrains. However, traditional legged locomotion might be energetically inefficient and potentially dangerous to the rover on loose and inclined surfaces, such as crater walls and cave slopes. This paper introduces a preliminary study that compares the Cost of Transport (CoT) of walking and torso-based sliding locomotion for quadruped robots across different slopes, friction conditions and speed levels. By identifying intersections between walking and sliding CoT curves, we aim to define threshold conditions that may trigger transitions between the two strategies. The methodology combines physics-based simulations in Isaac Sim with particle interaction validation in ANSYS-Rocky. Our results represent an initial step towards adaptive locomotion strategies for planetary legged rovers.
- Oceania > Australia > South Australia > Adelaide (0.04)
- North America > United States > Texas > Montgomery County > The Woodlands (0.04)
- Europe > Italy > Liguria > Genoa (0.04)
The Robot of Theseus: A modular robotic testbed for legged locomotion
Urs, Karthik, Carlson, Jessica, Manohar, Aditya Srinivas, Rakowiecki, Michael, Alkayyali, Abdulhadi, Saunders, John E., Tulbah, Faris, Moore, Talia Y.
Robotic models are useful for independently varying specific features, but most quadrupedal robots differ so greatly from animal morphologies that they have minimal biomechanical relevance. Commercially available quadrupedal robots are also prohibitively expensive for biological research programs and difficult to customize. Here, we present a low-cost quadrupedal robot with modular legs that can match a wide range of animal morphologies for biomechanical hypothesis testing. The Robot Of Theseus (TROT) costs approximately $4000 to build out of 3D printed parts and standard off-the-shelf supplies. Each limb consists of 2 or 3 rigid links; the proximal joint can be rotated to become a knee or elbow. Telescoping mechanisms vary the length of each limb link. The open-source software accommodates user-defined gaits and morphology changes. Effective leg length, or crouch, is determined by the four-bar linkage actuating each joint. The backdrivable motors can vary virtual spring stiffness and range of motion. Full descriptions of the TROT hardware and software are freely available online. We demonstrate the use of TROT to compare locomotion among extant, extinct, and theoretical morphologies. In addition to biomechanical hypothesis testing, we envision a variety of different applications for this low-cost, modular, legged robotic platform, including developing novel control strategies, clearing land mines, or remote exploration. All CAD and code is available for download on the TROT project page.
- North America > United States > Michigan > Washtenaw County > Ann Arbor (0.14)
- Asia > Japan > Honshū > Kantō > Tokyo Metropolis Prefecture > Tokyo (0.14)
- North America > United States > Massachusetts > Middlesex County > Cambridge (0.04)
- (9 more...)
- Energy (0.68)
- Machinery > Industrial Machinery (0.48)
- Health & Medicine (0.46)
EfficientRAG: Efficient Retriever for Multi-Hop Question Answering
Zhuang, Ziyuan, Zhang, Zhiyang, Cheng, Sitao, Yang, Fangkai, Liu, Jia, Huang, Shujian, Lin, Qingwei, Rajmohan, Saravan, Zhang, Dongmei, Zhang, Qi
Retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) methods encounter difficulties when addressing complex questions like multi-hop queries. While iterative retrieval methods improve performance by gathering additional information, current approaches often rely on multiple calls of large language models (LLMs). In this paper, we introduce EfficientRAG, an efficient retriever for multi-hop question answering. EfficientRAG iteratively generates new queries without the need for LLM calls at each iteration and filters out irrelevant information. Experimental results demonstrate that EfficientRAG surpasses existing RAG methods on three open-domain multi-hop question-answering datasets.
- Asia > Singapore (0.04)
- Europe > Spain > Catalonia > Barcelona Province > Barcelona (0.04)
- North America > United States > Texas > Montgomery County > Conroe (0.04)
- (12 more...)
- Leisure & Entertainment (1.00)
- Media > Film (0.46)
Improving Machine Learning Based Sepsis Diagnosis Using Heart Rate Variability
Balaji, Sai, Sun, Christopher, Somalwar, Anaiy
The early and accurate diagnosis of sepsis is critical for enhancing patient outcomes. This study aims to use heart rate variability (HRV) features to develop an effective predictive model for sepsis detection. Critical HRV features are identified through feature engineering methods, including statistical bootstrapping and the Boruta algorithm, after which XGBoost and Random Forest classifiers are trained with differential hyperparameter settings. In addition, ensemble models are constructed to pool the prediction probabilities of high-recall and high-precision classifiers and improve model performance. Finally, a neural network model is trained on the HRV features, achieving an F1 score of 0.805, a precision of 0.851, and a recall of 0.763. The best-performing machine learning model is compared to this neural network through an interpretability analysis, where Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations are implemented to determine decision-making criterion based on numerical ranges and thresholds for specific features. This study not only highlights the efficacy of HRV in automated sepsis diagnosis but also increases the transparency of black box outputs, maximizing clinical applicability.
- North America > United States > California > Alameda County > Berkeley (0.14)
- North America > United States > Texas > Montgomery County > The Woodlands (0.04)
- North America > United States > Michigan (0.04)
- (2 more...)
Enhancing Microgrid Performance Prediction with Attention-based Deep Learning Models
Maddineni, Vinod Kumar, Koganti, Naga Babu, Damacharla, Praveen
In this research, an effort is made to address microgrid systems' operational challenges, characterized by power oscillations that eventually contribute to grid instability. An integrated strategy is proposed, leveraging the strengths of convolutional and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) layers. This approach is aimed at effectively extracting temporal data from energy datasets to improve the precision of microgrid behavior forecasts. Additionally, an attention layer is employed to underscore significant features within the time-series data, optimizing the forecasting process. The framework is anchored by a Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) model, which is tasked with comprehensive load forecasting and the identification of abnormal grid behaviors. Our methodology underwent rigorous evaluation using the Micro-grid Tariff Assessment Tool dataset, with Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and the coefficient of determination (r2-score) serving as the primary metrics. The approach demonstrated exemplary performance, evidenced by a MAE of 0.39, RMSE of 0.28, and an r2-score of 98.89\% in load forecasting, along with near-perfect zero state prediction accuracy (approximately 99.9\%). Significantly outperforming conventional machine learning models such as support vector regression and random forest regression, our model's streamlined architecture is particularly suitable for real-time applications, thereby facilitating more effective and reliable microgrid management.
- Africa > Sub-Saharan Africa (0.04)
- Africa > Southern Africa (0.04)
- North America > United States > Texas > Montgomery County > The Woodlands (0.04)
- (5 more...)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Statistical Learning (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Neural Networks > Deep Learning (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Learning Graphical Models > Directed Networks > Bayesian Learning (0.46)
Systemic Biases in Sign Language AI Research: A Deaf-Led Call to Reevaluate Research Agendas
Desai, Aashaka, De Meulder, Maartje, Hochgesang, Julie A., Kocab, Annemarie, Lu, Alex X.
Growing research in sign language recognition, generation, and translation AI has been accompanied by calls for ethical development of such technologies. While these works are crucial to helping individual researchers do better, there is a notable lack of discussion of systemic biases or analysis of rhetoric that shape the research questions and methods in the field, especially as it remains dominated by hearing non-signing researchers. Therefore, we conduct a systematic review of 101 recent papers in sign language AI. Our analysis identifies significant biases in the current state of sign language AI research, including an overfocus on addressing perceived communication barriers, a lack of use of representative datasets, use of annotations lacking linguistic foundations, and development of methods that build on flawed models. We take the position that the field lacks meaningful input from Deaf stakeholders, and is instead driven by what decisions are the most convenient or perceived as important to hearing researchers. We end with a call to action: the field must make space for Deaf researchers to lead the conversation in sign language AI.
- South America > Chile > Santiago Metropolitan Region > Santiago Province > Santiago (0.04)
- South America > Argentina (0.04)
- North America > United States > Texas > Montgomery County (0.04)
- (6 more...)
- Research Report > New Finding (0.48)
- Research Report > Experimental Study (0.34)